The Ballot and the Manipulated: Has Democracy Lost Its Way?

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14 comments on The Ballot and the Manipulated: Has Democracy Lost Its Way?

By Andrew MacGregor with 'Dan'.

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A rendering of a ball maze with two exit solutions, one leading to the words "TRUTH FACTS", and the other to the words "FAKE NEWS".

Other than being friends, Dan and I don’t have much in common on paper. He was born into poverty in Liverpool, left school at sixteen, joined the army, protested nukes at Greenham Common, drove taxis, raised a couple of children alone on next to nothing, and arrived at philosophy and anarchism through sheer intellect led bloody-minded curiosity.

He’s precisely the kind of intellect that Stalin would have sent to Siberia. Me on the other hand, I came from a middle-class background that turned out to be as fractured as any – a mother who resented me, an early exit from the ‘family home’ at seventeen, and a life that lurched between struggle and effort, career and occasional comfort before I eventually found my way into studying psychology as a (very) mature student. Different roads. Remarkably similar destinations.

We were talking, as we often do, about politics (a subject that both infuriates and interests us). Specifically, about something that has been gnawing at both of us for years: the sense that democracy, in its current form, is being gamed. Not broken – gamed. And that the people doing the gaming are not shy about it. The observation we kept circling was this: at some point, democratic politics shifted from persuading people to vote for something to engineering conditions in which people vote against something. Aspiration gave way to grievance. Hope gave way to fury. And fury, it turns out, is far easier to manufacture, direct, and sustain.

The Architecture of discontent

This is not accidental. The shift from aspirational to negative politics has been deliberate, systematic, and extraordinarily profitable for those who engineered it. Division sells newspapers. Alienation drives clicks. Fear keeps people tuned in. And a population that is angry, isolated, and economically precarious is a population that is incredibly susceptible to being told who to blame.

The Brexit vote of 2016 is the case study that will define this era. During the early elements of my study, I examined the relationship between right-wing media saturation and the Leave vote across different regions of the UK. The pattern was striking and, I would argue, not coincidental. In Scotland, London, Liverpool, Newcastle, and Northern Ireland (areas where right-wing press dominance was weakest, where alternative narratives had space to breathe) the vote to Leave was substantially lower. These were not necessarily wealthier or better-educated populations in the conventional sense. They were populations with access to a more varied, more sceptical and even more neutral information environment.

Liverpool’s resistance to the Murdoch press predates Hillsborough, though that catastrophe and its decades-long cover-up calcified it into something close to institutional refusal. The city’s wariness was already structural: rooted in trade unionism, Irish Catholic immigration, a port economy that bred a particular class consciousness, and a long collective memory of being treated as expendable by Westminster. Scotland carried its own version of this – decades of voting one way and being governed another had produced a lived (or should that be ‘an experienced’) understanding of democratic deficit that made grand promises about sovereignty feel rather hollow or hypocritical.

What these places had developed, almost accidentally, were cultural antibodies. Not superior intelligence. Not greater virtue. Simply the hard-won scepticism that comes from having been lied to often enough to notice the pattern.

An uncomfortable truth about intellect and susceptibility

Here is where Dan and I got uncomfortable with ourselves (and where I suspect many readers will too).

We both harbour a little resentment and we acknowledged it plainly, without pride that our often mediocre, intellectually limited representatives are elected by people who have never been required, or perhaps never had the opportunity, to think critically about power, evidence, or consequence. That is an uncomfortable thing to say. It sounds elitist. In certain company, it is the kind of remark that ends conversations.

But consider the source. Dan is not and never has been, a man of privilege. He is a man who built a serious philosophical mind out of poverty, neglect, and a life that gave him every reason to stop asking questions. The resentment we share is not contempt for the poor or the uneducated. It is contempt for a system that deliberately keeps people incurious, that weaponises ignorance, that offers grievance as a substitute for analysis and then declares the result democracy.

The research on this is not comfortable reading. Psychological studies on cognitive style, information literacy, and susceptibility to misinformation consistently find that certain thinking patterns (a preference for intuitive over analytical reasoning, lower tolerance for ambiguity, reduced engagement with counterarguments) correlate with greater vulnerability to populist and conspiratorial messaging. This is not about raw intelligence. It is about habits of mind. And habits of mind are shaped by circumstance, education, media exposure, and the degree to which your life has given you cause to question what you are told. 

The villains of this story are not the people who were manipulated. They are the people who chose to manipulate them – who looked at an electorate softened by austerity, deindustrialisation, and institutional abandonment, and saw not citizens to be represented, but a resource to be harvested.

The AI Accelerant

The landscape that produced Brexit and its transatlantic cousin is now almost quaint by comparison to what is coming. Artificial intelligence has industrialised the production of disinformation. Fake news once required journalists, editors, and at least the pretence of a source. Now it requires a prompt. Deepfake videos, synthetic quotes attributed to real politicians, algorithmically personalised outrage delivered at scale. We have gone from the enlightenment and the age of rationality to the postmodernist era with Foucault, Derrida and Baudrillard and now we are entering an era in which the manipulation of democratic sentiment will be cheaper, faster, and more precisely targeted than anything Murdoch or Rothermere ever managed, which might well be termed post truth.

Into this environment, we are proposing to deploy the same blunt instrument we have always used: the universal ballot. One person, one vote, regardless of whether that person has encountered seventeen AI-generated fabrications about their candidate this morning, or none.

Mill’s Question, returned with interest

This forces a question that polite democratic society would rather not ask: is universal suffrage, as currently constituted, adequate for the world we now inhabit?

John Stuart Mill (that great liberal icon) was not, in fact, a simple universalist. In Considerations on Representative Government (1861), he argued for a system of plural voting in which the educated and professionally skilled would carry more electoral weight than the unskilled labourer. His reasoning was not contempt for the poor but a genuine anxiety about what uninformed mass participation might produce. He also, it should be said, supported extending the vote to women long before it was fashionable. Mill was trying to balance the democratic principle with the epistemic one. Not just who should govern, but how to ensure that governance is informed.

Before Mill, Plato had been blunter. His philosopher-kings were not a democratic conceit, they were the explicit rejection of one. The Republic’s argument is essentially that navigating a ship of state requires the same kind of expertise as navigating an actual ship, and that we do not let passengers vote on which way to turn the wheel.

More recently, the philosopher Jason Brennan has made the case for epistocracy (rule by the knowledgeable) with uncomfortable directness in Against Democracy (2016). Brennan categorises voters as hobbits (apathetic), hooligans (tribally partisan), and Vulcans (rational and informed). His argument is that hooligans, not Vulcans, dominate democratic outcomes, and that the consequences are predictably bad.

These are not comfortable positions. They have been used, historically, to justify the exclusion of women, the poor, and minorities from democratic participation – a history that cannot be wished away. Any argument that some votes should count more than others must reckon seriously with the question: who decides who is qualified? And who watches the watchers?

An unresolved question for an unresolved age

Dan and I did not resolve this. We are not sure it can be resolved, not cleanly, not without significant cost to principles that neither of us is willing to discard entirely. Universal suffrage was won through struggle and blood. It enshrines something real about human dignity and political equality that capability-based models risk destroying entirely.

But the question will not go away. In a media landscape engineered to inflame rather than inform, in an AI environment where synthetic reality is increasingly indistinguishable from real reality, in a political culture where grievance has become a more reliable mobilising force than hope, the assumption that any vote is as good as any other is looking increasingly strained.

Perhaps the honest answer is that the problem is not with the voters. It is with the conditions under which they vote. A population given genuine education in critical thinking, genuine plurality in its media diet, genuine economic security and social connection is that population that would be far harder to manipulate into voting against its own interests. The question of capability suffrage might dissolve if we were serious about creating the conditions for democratic capability in the first place.

But we are not serious about that – and the question remains

Dan, who arrived at philosophy through an army barracks and a taxi rank, understands this better than most. So does anyone else who has ever had to think their way out of a situation that was designed to keep them from thinking at all.

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14 responses to “The Ballot and the Manipulated: Has Democracy Lost Its Way?”

  1. Debby Hallett avatar
    Debby Hallett

    This author and his friend have that integral view of politics and culture that I have longed to find. Thirty years ago I did a masters degrees focussed on adult psychological development and concluded that all opinions are not of the same value (v long story) but here in a five minute read, he has made a convincing case for it in today’s world. Deep bow.

    1. Andrew MacGregor avatar
      Andrew MacGregor

      While studying recently (Psychology) for my module in heuristics I was pointed to some interesting publications by my lecturer. Some of my points above are well established in both sociology and psychology. We definitely have an issue. More than happy to link a few if you want?

  2. Zoe Hollowood avatar
    Zoe Hollowood

    Thank you Andrew for this thought provoking article. In this era of ubiquitous misinformation do we need to do more to arm the population with ‘antibodies’ as you call it? In Finland for example they teach critical thinking and media literacy throughout their school curriculum. They also have initiatives like Faktabaari (Fact Bar) that operate as independent digital fact-checking services. The Guardian here talks about Finland fighting fake news in primary schools. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/28/fact-from-fiction-finlands-new-lessons-in-combating-fake-news Is it any wonder Finland has also turned out to be one of the first to analyse and openly discuss the harms of gender medicine in children??

    1. Andrew MacGregor avatar
      Andrew MacGregor

      Thanks Zoe. The Finnish certainly have been the early warning on many areas and using their model requires the UK not merely to look at lesson plans, but to make wholesale changes to the education system starting with ensuring all children have the exact same starting point, a decent diet provided by the state. Then remove all sources of educational privilege in the same way that Finland has. It’s a system that works and will help reduce inequality of outcome.

  3. Richard Hopkins avatar
    Richard Hopkins

    Given the decrying of AI in this article, the following rebuttal has been prepared by ChatGPT 5.5:

    “ChatGPT 5.5 Responds

    The post is not just polemical; it is structurally weak. Its central move is this:

    Some voters are manipulated by media/disinformation → therefore universal suffrage may be inadequate → therefore epistocratic or weighted-vote models deserve renewed consideration.

    That is a very large leap. The post gestures at evidence, invokes Mill, Plato and Jason Brennan, and then retreats into “we are only asking questions.” But the direction of travel is clear: ordinary voters are framed as epistemically defective, while the author and “Dan” are framed as hard-won critical minds who can see through the manipulation.

    Core critique

    The strongest criticism is that the post confuses susceptibility to manipulation with democratic illegitimacy.

    All electorates are vulnerable to propaganda, elite framing, media capture, economic fear, emotional mobilisation and bad information. That does not prove that some citizens should have less electoral weight. It proves that democratic conditions need improving: education, media plurality, transparency, campaign finance controls, platform regulation, civic institutions, local accountability and anti-corruption mechanisms.

    The author eventually half-concedes this near the end, saying perhaps the problem is not voters but “the conditions under which they vote.” But that admission undercuts the whole flirtation with epistocracy. If the disease is environmental manipulation, the cure is not to downgrade the manipulated; it is to constrain the manipulators.

    Main fallacies and weaknesses

    1. Correlation-causation leap
    The Brexit claim is especially weak. The post argues that areas with weaker right-wing press dominance tended to vote Remain, and treats this as highly suggestive evidence that right-wing media saturation drove Leave voting. But that is not enough.

    Scotland, London, Liverpool, Newcastle and Northern Ireland differ from Leave-voting areas in many other ways: constitutional identity, local history, party systems, economic structure, immigration patterns, age profile, education mix, urbanisation, religious/political memory, and regional relationship to Westminster.

    So the argument risks becoming:
    These places consumed less right-wing media and voted Remain; therefore right-wing media explains Leave.
    That is an ecological fallacy unless the author can show the relationship at voter level, control for confounders, and explain counterexamples.

    2. Self-flattering anecdotal framing
    The opening about Dan is rhetorically clever but evidentially irrelevant. Dan’s biography functions as a moral credential: “this is not elitism, because my working-class friend agrees.”

    That does not solve the elitism problem. It merely launders it through an anecdote.

    The post wants to say, “We are not sneering at ordinary people.” But it repeatedly implies that many ordinary voters lack critical habits, are manipulated by grievance, and produce “mediocre, intellectually limited representatives.” That is not automatically false, but the post cannot pretend it is not making a hierarchy of political competence.

    3. Motte-and-bailey
    The post keeps moving between two claims.
    The defensible claim — the motte — is:
    Democracy is being damaged by manipulation, misinformation, AI, economic insecurity and media concentration.

    That is reasonable.

    The much more dangerous claim — the bailey — is:
    Universal suffrage may no longer be adequate, and perhaps some votes should count more than others.

    When challenged, the author can retreat to: “I’m only asking whether democratic conditions are healthy.” But the post clearly spends much of its energy normalising the second claim through Mill, Plato and Brennan.

    4. “Just asking questions” about disenfranchisement
    The post repeatedly presents itself as unresolved, uncomfortable and exploratory. But its framing is not neutral. It primes the reader to think universal suffrage is intellectually naive in the age of AI.

    This is a classic rhetorical move: introduce a radical anti-democratic proposition, surround it with caveats, then claim merely to be raising an “uncomfortable question.”

    A proper argument would need to answer:

    Who defines “knowledgeable”?
    Who administers the test?
    What prevents class capture?
    What prevents partisan capture?
    What happens when “educated” voters are themselves propagandised?
    Why assume education produces wisdom rather than merely more sophisticated rationalisation?

    The post gestures at “who watches the watchers?” but does not solve it. That omission is fatal.

    5. False analogy: politics as ship navigation
    The Plato analogy is particularly poor. Steering a ship has a relatively determinate technical aim: avoid rocks, reach destination, survive weather. Politics is not like that. Politics involves competing values: liberty versus security, equality versus property rights, national sovereignty versus international integration, redistribution versus market autonomy, cultural continuity versus social change.

    Experts can advise on likely consequences. They cannot decide what citizens ought to value.

    So the ship analogy smuggles in technocracy by pretending political judgment is merely technical competence.

    6. Strawman of universal suffrage
    The post says:
    “One person, one vote, regardless of whether that person has encountered seventeen AI-generated fabrications…”
    But universal suffrage does not claim every voter is equally informed. It claims every citizen has equal political standing because they are equally subject to the law.

    That distinction is fundamental.

    A vote is not an IQ score. It is a share in collective authorisation. The ignorant citizen is still governed, taxed, policed, conscripted, regulated and punished by the state. That is why they have standing.

    The post attacks a crude version of democracy: “all opinions are equally knowledgeable.” But liberal democracy is better understood as: “all citizens have equal political dignity.”

    7. Appeal to authority without argument
    Mill, Plato and Brennan are invoked to give intellectual weight to the position. But citation is not argument.
    Mill’s plural voting proposal belongs to a Victorian context of class, gender, property and imperial assumptions. Plato’s philosopher-kings are explicitly anti-democratic. Brennan’s epistocracy is controversial precisely because it struggles with implementation, capture, and the problem of who gets to define political knowledge.

    Dropping these names does not answer the institutional problem. It decorates it.

    8. Class contempt disguised as compassion
    The post tries to distinguish contempt for the poor from contempt for a system that keeps people incurious. That distinction is rhetorically useful, but unstable.

    Because once the argument moves toward weighted voting, the practical effect lands on people, not systems. You cannot disenfranchise “the conditions under which people vote.” You disenfranchise voters.

    So the post says: “The villains are not the manipulated.” But its remedy-curiosity points toward reducing the political power of the allegedly manipulated.
    That is the contradiction.

    9. “Voting against their own interests” is assumed, not proved
    The phrase “voting against its own interests” is doing heavy lifting. It assumes that the author knows the true interests of voters better than they do.

    But voters may prioritise sovereignty, immigration control, cultural identity, democratic proximity, protest, local autonomy, or distrust of institutions over GDP modelling or elite consensus. One may disagree with those priorities, but calling them “against their interests” often means “against the interests I think they ought to have.”

    That is not analysis. It is paternalism.

    10. The AI argument is a slippery slope
    The AI section is the most contemporary part of the post, but it still overreaches.

    Yes, AI can scale misinformation. But the conclusion does not follow that universal suffrage is inadequate. Other remedies are more direct: authentication standards, watermarking, platform liability, electoral law reform, media literacy, campaign transparency, rapid correction systems, public-interest journalism and sanctions for synthetic fraud.

    Jumping from “AI disinformation is dangerous” to “perhaps equal voting is obsolete” is a slippery-slope technocratic leap.

    The most concise takedown

    The post identifies a real problem — manipulation of voters — and then flirts with the wrong solution. If voters are being misled by concentrated media power, economic insecurity, political bad faith and AI-generated disinformation, the democratic answer is to attack those conditions, not to dilute the franchise. The author has not shown that Leave voters were uniquely irrational, that Remain voters were uniquely critical, that educated voters are immune to propaganda, or that any epistocratic system could avoid capture by the very elites already gaming democracy. The post therefore collapses into a familiar paternalist argument: democracy is sacred until the wrong people use it wrongly.

    One-line version

    This is not a serious case against universal suffrage; it is anti-populist anxiety dressed up as political philosophy.”

    1. Andrew MacGregor avatar
      Andrew MacGregor

      “This is not a serious case against universal suffrage; it is anti-populist anxiety dressed up as political philosophy.”,”

      No. That’s incorrect. It’s not anti-populist anxiety at all, although there are lots of things to be anxious about when it comes to populists, populist parties and populist policy-making. It’s also not really a political philosophy – see my other points already raised. If it was a philosophy then it would clearly be more focussed on the rights or wrongs of the system and not really a method of inspiring discussion.

      I would also like to point out, that of the 4-5 AI systems I have encountered and used ChatGPT was the least reliable. Asking it for a list of research papers for me to peruse, led to it inventing research papers, the authors and even the DOI codes to link to them. So, as an example of a rebuttal, using ChatGPT doesn’t fill me with confidence that that particular AI system understands the points being made.

      1. Richard Hopkins avatar
        Richard Hopkins

        Your response is a classic ad hominem attack, although really it should be labelled an ad machinam attack. You don’t really address the points raised and deny without justification. Yes, your article may have set out to inspire, but its confused rhetoric I think was set out fairly by GPT. You spent a long time arguing against a universal franchise, and then pivoted at the end. If you were setting out a nightmare scenario only to suggest a socialist totalitarian response, you can see from the comments on the article that the “Alf Garnett Effect” was inadvertently triggered. In the end only the algorithm really knows what your point was.

        I have used a number of AI systems in subscription mode (ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, Grok) and each has its strengths and its weaknesses. They are a bit like superbikes. Those who expect a free ride or use them badly fall off.

        1. Andrew MacGregor avatar
          Andrew MacGregor

          No Richard, it’s not. It’s based on direct experience, but can also be confirmed by a bit of reading about the ‘imagination’ of AI in its responses.
          One of the most documented areas of AI imagination involves the legal profession. In one case, 12 of the 19 cases cited in an appeal of a denied Social Security claim in the US were found to be “fabricated, misleading, or unsupported,” with the lawyer sanctioned by a federal judge who described the brief as “replete with citation-related deficiencies consistent with AI-generated hallucinations.
          Research has shown that 64% of consumers have encountered AI-generated misinformation about products or services, and 43% made purchasing decisions based on that false information. One automotive manufacturer discovered that ChatGPT was confidently describing non-existent vehicle features, inventing safety recalls that never happened, and attributing quotes to executives who never made them.
          https://www.reputaforge.com/blog/hidden-cost-of-ai-hallucinations-how-ai-tools-are-inventing-false-information/
          This isn’t my point originally though and you perhaps might want to look again at the article rather than trying to undermine the main points.
          The original piece isn’t a hatchet job on AI at all. It’s pointing out that unscrupulous manipulation is made worse by AI. You knew that though, but still decided to troll.

          1. Richard Hopkins avatar
            Richard Hopkins

            But it is you who is using the distraction of AI to avoid the points raised by the response. So be it. Your comprehensive review of AI’s efficacy is one I will give no bearing to. I am not trolling. Simply disagreeing with your polemical style, which did not warrant that reaction IMHO. As to “the main points” of your piece, I remain unsure what point you were trying to make – a heavily restricted franchise, or a Finnish approach to public education, or both? I could disagree with both on many points but the scattergun article’s odd pivot made that rather pointless. I am sure you will have the last word on this thread, if Dan doesn’t get in first.

  4. Yonni Wilson avatar
    Yonni Wilson

    Andrew’s article is thought-provoking indeed and in the Comments, Richard’s ChatGPT rebuttal on behalf of AI is, for me, more thought-provoking.

    The undermining of a democratic vote would not be resolved by removing or minimising the votes of those who are less educated, or don’t fit the description ‘critical thinkers’ – I’ll call them ‘ordinary voters’.

    We only have to look at the undermining of women’s rights by a determined, vocal & well-funded trans lobby to clearly see that those ‘ordinary voters’ are (at times at least) anchoring us to sanity – with their ‘cultural/BS antibodies’.
    Our universities and academia, state bodies, health and care sector, trade unions, arts and media were all able to be captured and manipulated by an obviously ludicrous proposition, that people can change their sex.
    Those underestimated ‘ordinary voters’ are the grown-ups in the room.

    Zoe’s thoughts, I believe, offer the path to protecting the democratic vote – a voting population (& politicians) better armed with those ‘antibodies’ and as chatGPT succinctly put it, ‘If voters are being misled by concentrated media power, economic insecurity, political bad faith and AI-generated disinformation, the democratic answer is to attack those conditions, not to dilute the franchise’.

    1. Andrew MacGregor avatar
      Andrew MacGregor

      That’s all well and good. The basis of the article is limited by the length and the topic. The alternative in an op-ed like this is to provoke thought, alternative suggestions and debate – all of which it has already achieved.

      Zoe’s ‘antibodies’ arguments are very succinctly put, but a look backwards to Noam Chomsky’s five filters of media output demonstrates this has been an ongoing problem for 5 decades. Changing that single aspect 4 decades ago might have been achievable, but it is now complicated and further mired in the expansion of micro-outlets which are self feeding and often taken up by the mainstream media. The media of course as has also been demonstrated endlessly by the reporting on Gaza and Israel that it is willing to participate in propaganda and falsehoods.
      That’s before we address the postmodernist drift that has encouraged us to question everything but without giving the populace the critical appraisal skills necessary to do that without being exploited by unscrupulous agenda driven organisations. How do you provide critical appraisal skills to children who by the time they enter adulthood have already been exposed to agenda driven falsehoods? How do you deliver that when your government can’t fundamentally see the value in providing children with the food that they need so that they are provided with energy to participate? The LDs have nothing to offer there and the Labour Party long ago abandoned the pretence of preparing the next generation for the same short termism that plagues the Tories.
      Arming them with the antibodies means more than simple lesson plans.

      1. Richard Hopkins avatar
        Richard Hopkins

        We are in agreement that the media has shown considerable bias in the reporting on Gaza and Israel. However, we are in fundamental disagreement about where that bias lies, and who is propagating it for whom. I have not commented on your Gaza/Israel posts on here because there was so much I found wrong in them (both factually and logically) that I did not really have the inclination to dive into that pool again with you. Ironically, you appear to exhibit the very traits you decry above, attempting to persuade people to vote not for something but against something (in this case Israel) and in doing so using not a plurality of media, but a torrent of propaganda to do so. I hasten to add that this is not just my own opinion. I have a mate, Kevin, who thinks so too. Or it might be Socrates.

  5. David Barnsdale avatar
    David Barnsdale

    Intelligent people are capable of believing stupid things. Judith Butler’s Gender Trouble is full of chains of questions of the sort that the reader knows how they should be answered. She does this because it allows her to make absurd claims without the need to defend them. Yet, in the library of my local university, copies of that book fill half a shelf. But those who set books like Butler’s and those who dutifully read them thinking they are gaining some kind of wisdom would have no trouble passing Jason Brennan’s tests.
    There is never going to be an objective criteria for those who deserve the franchise. Lacking such genuine criteria, any attempt will always degenerate into taking the vote away from people I disagree with. The cost will be undermining democratic legitimacy.

    1. Andrew MacGregor avatar
      Andrew MacGregor

      So we should do nothing then?

      Continue to allow our lives to follow an agenda set for us by the likes of Farage and backed by those unable to grasp the danger?

      We’ve seen how that can play out.

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